Huntington Ingalls Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

H1II34 Stock  BRL 15.12  0.04  0.27%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Huntington Ingalls Industries, on the next trading day is expected to be 15.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.80. Huntington Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Huntington Ingalls stock prices and determine the direction of Huntington Ingalls Industries,'s future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Huntington Ingalls' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Huntington Ingalls is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Huntington Ingalls Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of January 2025

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Huntington Ingalls Industries, on the next trading day is expected to be 15.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Huntington Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Huntington Ingalls' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Huntington Ingalls Stock Forecast Pattern

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Huntington Ingalls Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Huntington Ingalls' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Huntington Ingalls' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.80 and 19.44, respectively. We have considered Huntington Ingalls' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.12
15.12
Expected Value
19.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Huntington Ingalls stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Huntington Ingalls stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.0827
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0972
MADMean absolute deviation0.4033
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0265
SAESum of the absolute errors23.795
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Huntington Ingalls Industries, price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Huntington Ingalls. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Huntington Ingalls

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Huntington Ingalls. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.8015.1219.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.1313.4517.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.6315.3416.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Huntington Ingalls. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Huntington Ingalls' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Huntington Ingalls' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Huntington Ingalls.

Other Forecasting Options for Huntington Ingalls

For every potential investor in Huntington, whether a beginner or expert, Huntington Ingalls' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Huntington Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Huntington. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Huntington Ingalls' price trends.

Huntington Ingalls Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Huntington Ingalls stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Huntington Ingalls could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Huntington Ingalls by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Huntington Ingalls Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Huntington Ingalls' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Huntington Ingalls' current price.

Huntington Ingalls Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Huntington Ingalls stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Huntington Ingalls shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Huntington Ingalls stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Huntington Ingalls Industries, entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Huntington Ingalls Risk Indicators

The analysis of Huntington Ingalls' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Huntington Ingalls' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting huntington stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Huntington Stock

Huntington Ingalls financial ratios help investors to determine whether Huntington Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Huntington with respect to the benefits of owning Huntington Ingalls security.