Global Telecom Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

GTHE Stock   4.90  0.00  0.00%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Global Telecom Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 4.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Global Telecom's stock prices and determine the direction of Global Telecom Holding's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Global Telecom's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Global Telecom Holding is based on a synthetically constructed Global Telecomdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Global Telecom 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Global Telecom Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 4.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Global Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Global Telecom's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Global Telecom Stock Forecast Pattern

Global Telecom Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Global Telecom's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Global Telecom's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.90 and 4.90, respectively. We have considered Global Telecom's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.90
4.90
Expected Value
4.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Global Telecom stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Global Telecom stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria13.8761
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Global Telecom Holding 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Global Telecom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Telecom Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Global Telecom

For every potential investor in Global, whether a beginner or expert, Global Telecom's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Global Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Global. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Global Telecom's price trends.

Global Telecom Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Global Telecom stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Global Telecom could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Global Telecom by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Global Telecom Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Global Telecom's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Global Telecom's current price.

Global Telecom Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Global Telecom stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Global Telecom shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Global Telecom stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Global Telecom Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.