Growthpoint Properties Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

GRT Stock   1,330  2.00  0.15%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Growthpoint Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 1,336 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 594.32. Growthpoint Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Growthpoint Properties stock prices and determine the direction of Growthpoint Properties's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Growthpoint Properties' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Growthpoint Properties is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Growthpoint Properties value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Growthpoint Properties Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Growthpoint Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 1,336 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.59, mean absolute percentage error of 131.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 594.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Growthpoint Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Growthpoint Properties' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Growthpoint Properties Stock Forecast Pattern

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Growthpoint Properties Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Growthpoint Properties' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Growthpoint Properties' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,335 and 1,338, respectively. We have considered Growthpoint Properties' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,330
1,336
Expected Value
1,338
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Growthpoint Properties stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Growthpoint Properties stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.8271
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation9.5858
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0073
SAESum of the absolute errors594.3193
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Growthpoint Properties. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Growthpoint Properties. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Growthpoint Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Growthpoint Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,3291,3301,331
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,3261,3271,463
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,2911,3171,342
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Growthpoint Properties

For every potential investor in Growthpoint, whether a beginner or expert, Growthpoint Properties' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Growthpoint Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Growthpoint. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Growthpoint Properties' price trends.

Growthpoint Properties Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Growthpoint Properties stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Growthpoint Properties could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Growthpoint Properties by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Growthpoint Properties Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Growthpoint Properties' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Growthpoint Properties' current price.

Growthpoint Properties Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Growthpoint Properties stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Growthpoint Properties shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Growthpoint Properties stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Growthpoint Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Growthpoint Properties Risk Indicators

The analysis of Growthpoint Properties' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Growthpoint Properties' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting growthpoint stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Growthpoint Stock

Growthpoint Properties financial ratios help investors to determine whether Growthpoint Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Growthpoint with respect to the benefits of owning Growthpoint Properties security.