GOOD BUILDINGS Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

GOOD Fund   155.00  2.00  1.27%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of GOOD BUILDINGS Swiss on the next trading day is expected to be 155.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.00. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast GOOD BUILDINGS's fund prices and determine the direction of GOOD BUILDINGS Swiss's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for GOOD BUILDINGS Swiss is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

GOOD BUILDINGS 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of GOOD BUILDINGS Swiss on the next trading day is expected to be 155.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.84, mean absolute percentage error of 5.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GOOD Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GOOD BUILDINGS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GOOD BUILDINGS Fund Forecast Pattern

GOOD BUILDINGS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GOOD BUILDINGS's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GOOD BUILDINGS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 154.96 and 156.79, respectively. We have considered GOOD BUILDINGS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
155.00
154.96
Downside
155.88
Expected Value
156.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GOOD BUILDINGS fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GOOD BUILDINGS fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.4247
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.614
MADMean absolute deviation1.8421
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0127
SAESum of the absolute errors105.0
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of GOOD BUILDINGS. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for GOOD BUILDINGS Swiss and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for GOOD BUILDINGS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GOOD BUILDINGS Swiss. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for GOOD BUILDINGS

For every potential investor in GOOD, whether a beginner or expert, GOOD BUILDINGS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GOOD Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GOOD. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GOOD BUILDINGS's price trends.

GOOD BUILDINGS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GOOD BUILDINGS fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GOOD BUILDINGS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GOOD BUILDINGS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GOOD BUILDINGS Swiss Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GOOD BUILDINGS's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GOOD BUILDINGS's current price.

GOOD BUILDINGS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GOOD BUILDINGS fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GOOD BUILDINGS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GOOD BUILDINGS fund market strength indicators, traders can identify GOOD BUILDINGS Swiss entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GOOD BUILDINGS Risk Indicators

The analysis of GOOD BUILDINGS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GOOD BUILDINGS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting good fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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