Good Life Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Good Life China on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Good Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Good Life stock prices and determine the direction of Good Life China's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Good Life's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Good Life is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Good Life China value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Good Life Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Good Life China on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Good Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Good Life's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Good Life Stock Forecast Pattern

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Good Life Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Good Life's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Good Life's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Good Life's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
0.00
Expected Value
0.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Good Life stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Good Life stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Good Life China. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Good Life. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Good Life

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Good Life China. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Good Life's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Good Life

For every potential investor in Good, whether a beginner or expert, Good Life's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Good Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Good. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Good Life's price trends.

Good Life Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Good Life stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Good Life could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Good Life by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Good Life China Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Good Life's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Good Life's current price.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Good Life China offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Good Life's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Good Life China Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Good Life China Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Good Life to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Good Life. If investors know Good will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Good Life listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.12)
Revenue Per Share
0.001
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.76)
The market value of Good Life China is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Good that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Good Life's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Good Life's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Good Life's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Good Life's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Good Life's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Good Life is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Good Life's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.