Dolby Laboratories Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

FUO Stock  EUR 75.50  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dolby Laboratories on the next trading day is expected to be 75.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.12. Dolby Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dolby Laboratories' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Dolby Laboratories - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Dolby Laboratories prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Dolby Laboratories price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Dolby Laboratories.

Dolby Laboratories Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dolby Laboratories on the next trading day is expected to be 75.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82, mean absolute percentage error of 2.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dolby Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dolby Laboratories' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dolby Laboratories Stock Forecast Pattern

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Dolby Laboratories Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dolby Laboratories' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dolby Laboratories' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 73.51 and 77.64, respectively. We have considered Dolby Laboratories' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
75.50
75.57
Expected Value
77.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dolby Laboratories stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dolby Laboratories stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2159
MADMean absolute deviation0.8155
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0113
SAESum of the absolute errors48.1157
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Dolby Laboratories observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Dolby Laboratories observations.

Predictive Modules for Dolby Laboratories

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dolby Laboratories. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
73.4475.5077.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.9586.9889.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
74.8175.3075.79
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Dolby Laboratories

For every potential investor in Dolby, whether a beginner or expert, Dolby Laboratories' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dolby Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dolby. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dolby Laboratories' price trends.

Dolby Laboratories Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dolby Laboratories stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dolby Laboratories could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dolby Laboratories by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dolby Laboratories Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dolby Laboratories' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dolby Laboratories' current price.

Dolby Laboratories Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dolby Laboratories stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dolby Laboratories shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dolby Laboratories stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dolby Laboratories entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dolby Laboratories Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dolby Laboratories' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dolby Laboratories' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dolby stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Dolby Stock

When determining whether Dolby Laboratories offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Dolby Laboratories' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Dolby Laboratories Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Dolby Laboratories Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dolby Laboratories to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Dolby Stock please use our How to Invest in Dolby Laboratories guide.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dolby Laboratories' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dolby Laboratories is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dolby Laboratories' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.