Freedom Holding Etf Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

FRHC Etf  USD 141.39  2.43  1.75%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Freedom Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 141.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 172.44. Freedom Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Freedom Holding stock prices and determine the direction of Freedom Holding Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Freedom Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  

Open Interest Against 2025-06-20 Freedom Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Freedom Holding's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Freedom Holding's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Freedom Holding stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Freedom Holding's open interest, investors have to compare it to Freedom Holding's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Freedom Holding is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Freedom. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Triple exponential smoothing for Freedom Holding - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Freedom Holding prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Freedom Holding price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Freedom Holding Corp.

Freedom Holding Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Freedom Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 141.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.87, mean absolute percentage error of 13.92, and the sum of the absolute errors of 172.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Freedom Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Freedom Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Freedom Holding Etf Forecast Pattern

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Freedom Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Freedom Holding's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Freedom Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 139.06 and 144.19, respectively. We have considered Freedom Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
141.39
139.06
Downside
141.62
Expected Value
144.19
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Freedom Holding etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Freedom Holding etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.4821
MADMean absolute deviation2.874
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0206
SAESum of the absolute errors172.4385
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Freedom Holding observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Freedom Holding Corp observations.

Predictive Modules for Freedom Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Freedom Holding Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
138.67141.24143.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
122.49125.06155.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
121.02136.24151.46
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
69.1676.0084.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Freedom Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Freedom Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Freedom Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Freedom Holding Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for Freedom Holding

For every potential investor in Freedom, whether a beginner or expert, Freedom Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Freedom Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Freedom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Freedom Holding's price trends.

Freedom Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Freedom Holding etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Freedom Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Freedom Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Freedom Holding Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Freedom Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Freedom Holding's current price.

Freedom Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Freedom Holding etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Freedom Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Freedom Holding etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Freedom Holding Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Freedom Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of Freedom Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Freedom Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting freedom etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Freedom Etf

Freedom Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Freedom Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Freedom with respect to the benefits of owning Freedom Holding security.