FIBI Holdings Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

FIBIH Stock  ILA 18,700  160.00  0.86%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of FIBI Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 18,284 with a mean absolute deviation of 316.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16,774. FIBI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for FIBI Holdings is based on an artificially constructed time series of FIBI Holdings daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

FIBI Holdings 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of FIBI Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 18,284 with a mean absolute deviation of 316.49, mean absolute percentage error of 148,621, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16,774.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FIBI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FIBI Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FIBI Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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FIBI Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting FIBI Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FIBI Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18,283 and 18,285, respectively. We have considered FIBI Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18,700
18,283
Downside
18,284
Expected Value
18,285
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FIBI Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FIBI Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.3166
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -279.2271
MADMean absolute deviation316.4914
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0187
SAESum of the absolute errors16774.0437
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. FIBI Holdings 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for FIBI Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FIBI Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18,69918,70018,701
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15,23715,23820,570
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17,85718,14018,422
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FIBI Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FIBI Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FIBI Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FIBI Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for FIBI Holdings

For every potential investor in FIBI, whether a beginner or expert, FIBI Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FIBI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FIBI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FIBI Holdings' price trends.

FIBI Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FIBI Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FIBI Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FIBI Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FIBI Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FIBI Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FIBI Holdings' current price.

FIBI Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FIBI Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FIBI Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FIBI Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FIBI Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

FIBI Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of FIBI Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FIBI Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fibi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for FIBI Stock Analysis

When running FIBI Holdings' price analysis, check to measure FIBI Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FIBI Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of FIBI Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FIBI Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FIBI Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FIBI Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.