Federated Investors Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| FHI Stock | USD 40.77 1.18 2.81% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Federated Investors B on the next trading day is expected to be 40.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.95. Federated Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Federated Investors' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Federated |
Federated Investors Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Federated Investors' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1998-03-31 | Previous Quarter 310.4 M | Current Value 375 M | Quarterly Volatility 91.9 M |
Federated Investors Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 21st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Federated Investors B on the next trading day is expected to be 40.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.95.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Federated Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Federated Investors' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Federated Investors Stock Forecast Pattern
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Federated Investors Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Federated Investors' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Federated Investors' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 39.34 and 41.77, respectively. We have considered Federated Investors' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Federated Investors stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Federated Investors stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.3943 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3434 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0086 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.9471 |
Predictive Modules for Federated Investors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federated Investors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Federated Investors
For every potential investor in Federated, whether a beginner or expert, Federated Investors' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Federated Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Federated. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Federated Investors' price trends.View Federated Investors Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Federated Investors Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Federated Investors' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Federated Investors' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Federated Investors Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Federated Investors stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Federated Investors shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Federated Investors stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Federated Investors B entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Federated Investors Risk Indicators
The analysis of Federated Investors' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Federated Investors' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting federated stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9692 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8881 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Variance | 1.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.16 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7888 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Federated Investors offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Federated Investors' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Federated Investors B Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Federated Investors B Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Federated Investors to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Federated Investors. If investors know Federated will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Federated Investors listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.237 | Dividend Share 1.18 | Earnings Share 3.16 | Revenue Per Share 19.903 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.014 |
The market value of Federated Investors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Federated that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Federated Investors' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Federated Investors' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Federated Investors' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Federated Investors' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Federated Investors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Federated Investors is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Federated Investors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.