FEC Resources Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

FECOF Stock  USD 0  0.0008  42.11%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of FEC Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0001 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. FEC Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of FEC Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for FEC Resources is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

FEC Resources Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of FEC Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0001, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000009, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FEC Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FEC Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FEC Resources Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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FEC Resources Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting FEC Resources' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FEC Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000027 and 20.60, respectively. We have considered FEC Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0
0.000027
Downside
0
Expected Value
20.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FEC Resources pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FEC Resources pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria98.26
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0626
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0087
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of FEC Resources price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of FEC Resources. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for FEC Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FEC Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.00020.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00020.44
Details

Other Forecasting Options for FEC Resources

For every potential investor in FEC, whether a beginner or expert, FEC Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FEC Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FEC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FEC Resources' price trends.

FEC Resources Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FEC Resources pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FEC Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FEC Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FEC Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FEC Resources' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FEC Resources' current price.

FEC Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FEC Resources pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FEC Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FEC Resources pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify FEC Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

FEC Resources Risk Indicators

The analysis of FEC Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FEC Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fec pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in FEC Pink Sheet

FEC Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether FEC Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FEC with respect to the benefits of owning FEC Resources security.