Exxaro Resources Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Triple exponential smoothing for Exxaro Resources - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Exxaro Resources prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Exxaro Resources price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Exxaro Resources.

Exxaro Resources Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Exxaro Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 15,881 with a mean absolute deviation of 221.65, mean absolute percentage error of 80,605, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13,077.

Exxaro Resources Stock Forecast Pattern

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Exxaro Resources Price Prediction

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Exxaro Resources Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Exxaro Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Exxaro Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Exxaro Resources observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Exxaro Resources observations.

Predictive Modules for Exxaro Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exxaro Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 15,895 15,897 15,899 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 14,307 16,972 16,973 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Exxaro Resources

For every potential investor in Exxaro, whether a beginner or expert, Exxaro Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Exxaro Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Exxaro. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Exxaro Resources' price trends.

Exxaro Resources Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Exxaro Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Exxaro Resources' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Exxaro Resources' current price.

Exxaro Resources Market Strength Events

Exxaro Resources Risk Indicators

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

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