Elixinol Wellness Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| EXL Stock | 0.05 0.01 31.43% |
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Elixinol Wellness Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17. Elixinol Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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Elixinol Wellness 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Elixinol Wellness Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Elixinol Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Elixinol Wellness' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Elixinol Wellness Stock Forecast Pattern
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Elixinol Wellness Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Elixinol Wellness' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Elixinol Wellness' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0005 and 10.45, respectively. We have considered Elixinol Wellness' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Elixinol Wellness stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Elixinol Wellness stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 92.5841 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0032 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0918 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.1701 |
Predictive Modules for Elixinol Wellness
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Elixinol Wellness. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Elixinol Wellness
For every potential investor in Elixinol, whether a beginner or expert, Elixinol Wellness' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Elixinol Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Elixinol. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Elixinol Wellness' price trends.Elixinol Wellness Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Elixinol Wellness stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Elixinol Wellness could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Elixinol Wellness by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Elixinol Wellness Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Elixinol Wellness' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Elixinol Wellness' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Elixinol Wellness Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Elixinol Wellness stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Elixinol Wellness shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Elixinol Wellness stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Elixinol Wellness Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0652 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 3.666667 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.31 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0445 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.045 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.003 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.007 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.011 |
Elixinol Wellness Risk Indicators
The analysis of Elixinol Wellness' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Elixinol Wellness' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting elixinol stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.8 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.33 | |||
| Variance | 106.8 | |||
| Downside Variance | 573.77 | |||
| Semi Variance | 50.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (18.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Elixinol Stock Analysis
When running Elixinol Wellness' price analysis, check to measure Elixinol Wellness' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Elixinol Wellness is operating at the current time. Most of Elixinol Wellness' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Elixinol Wellness' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Elixinol Wellness' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Elixinol Wellness to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.