Etiler Nci Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

ETILR Stock  TRY 6.96  0.30  4.13%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Etiler nci Bufe on the next trading day is expected to be 7.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.69. Etiler Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Etiler Nci's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Etiler Nci is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Etiler Nci Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Etiler nci Bufe on the next trading day is expected to be 7.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.69.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Etiler Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Etiler Nci's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Etiler Nci Stock Forecast Pattern

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Etiler Nci Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Etiler Nci's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Etiler Nci's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.01 and 12.21, respectively. We have considered Etiler Nci's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.96
7.11
Expected Value
12.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Etiler Nci stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Etiler Nci stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.0516
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1388
MADMean absolute deviation0.6388
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0547
SAESum of the absolute errors37.69
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Etiler nci Bufe price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Etiler Nci. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Etiler Nci

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Etiler nci Bufe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.167.2612.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.876.9712.07
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Etiler Nci

For every potential investor in Etiler, whether a beginner or expert, Etiler Nci's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Etiler Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Etiler. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Etiler Nci's price trends.

Etiler Nci Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Etiler Nci stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Etiler Nci could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Etiler Nci by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Etiler nci Bufe Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Etiler Nci's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Etiler Nci's current price.

Etiler Nci Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Etiler Nci stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Etiler Nci shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Etiler Nci stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Etiler nci Bufe entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Etiler Nci Risk Indicators

The analysis of Etiler Nci's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Etiler Nci's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting etiler stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Etiler Stock

Etiler Nci financial ratios help investors to determine whether Etiler Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Etiler with respect to the benefits of owning Etiler Nci security.