Eolus Vind Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

EOLU-B Stock  SEK 47.15  1.65  3.63%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Eolus Vind AB on the next trading day is expected to be 44.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.49. Eolus Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Eolus Vind stock prices and determine the direction of Eolus Vind AB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Eolus Vind's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Eolus Vind is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Eolus Vind AB value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Eolus Vind Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Eolus Vind AB on the next trading day is expected to be 44.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 1.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eolus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eolus Vind's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Eolus Vind Stock Forecast Pattern

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Eolus Vind Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Eolus Vind's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eolus Vind's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 42.44 and 47.42, respectively. We have considered Eolus Vind's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
47.15
44.93
Expected Value
47.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eolus Vind stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eolus Vind stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.4317
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8769
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0186
SAESum of the absolute errors53.4928
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Eolus Vind AB. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Eolus Vind. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Eolus Vind

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eolus Vind AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.0145.5047.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.7043.1945.68
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Eolus Vind

For every potential investor in Eolus, whether a beginner or expert, Eolus Vind's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eolus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eolus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eolus Vind's price trends.

Eolus Vind Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eolus Vind stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eolus Vind could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eolus Vind by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Eolus Vind AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Eolus Vind's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Eolus Vind's current price.

Eolus Vind Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eolus Vind stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eolus Vind shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eolus Vind stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eolus Vind AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Eolus Vind Risk Indicators

The analysis of Eolus Vind's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eolus Vind's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eolus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Eolus Stock

Eolus Vind financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eolus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eolus with respect to the benefits of owning Eolus Vind security.