EJF Investments Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

EJFI Stock   119.00  1.00  0.83%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of EJF Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 119.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.68. EJF Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for EJF Investments is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

EJF Investments 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of EJF Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 119.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75, mean absolute percentage error of 1.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EJF Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EJF Investments' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

EJF Investments Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest EJF InvestmentsEJF Investments Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

EJF Investments Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting EJF Investments' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EJF Investments' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 118.45 and 120.05, respectively. We have considered EJF Investments' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
119.00
118.45
Downside
119.25
Expected Value
120.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EJF Investments stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EJF Investments stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.058
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3039
MADMean absolute deviation0.7487
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0064
SAESum of the absolute errors42.675
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of EJF Investments. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for EJF Investments and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for EJF Investments

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EJF Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
118.50119.30120.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.2899.08130.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
118.50119.50120.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for EJF Investments

For every potential investor in EJF, whether a beginner or expert, EJF Investments' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EJF Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EJF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EJF Investments' price trends.

EJF Investments Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EJF Investments stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EJF Investments could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EJF Investments by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

EJF Investments Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of EJF Investments' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of EJF Investments' current price.

EJF Investments Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EJF Investments stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EJF Investments shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EJF Investments stock market strength indicators, traders can identify EJF Investments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

EJF Investments Risk Indicators

The analysis of EJF Investments' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EJF Investments' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ejf stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for EJF Stock Analysis

When running EJF Investments' price analysis, check to measure EJF Investments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EJF Investments is operating at the current time. Most of EJF Investments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EJF Investments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EJF Investments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EJF Investments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.