Endeavour Mining OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

EDVMF Stock  USD 22.50  0.10  0.44%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Endeavour Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 24.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.08. Endeavour OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Endeavour Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Endeavour Mining is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Endeavour Mining Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Endeavour Mining Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Endeavour Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 24.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.08.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Endeavour OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Endeavour Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Endeavour Mining OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Endeavour Mining Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Endeavour Mining's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Endeavour Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.35 and 26.94, respectively. We have considered Endeavour Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.50
24.65
Expected Value
26.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Endeavour Mining otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Endeavour Mining otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.9199
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4529
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0218
SAESum of the absolute errors28.0807
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Endeavour Mining Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Endeavour Mining. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Endeavour Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Endeavour Mining Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.2122.5024.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.1421.4323.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.4521.3423.23
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Endeavour Mining

For every potential investor in Endeavour, whether a beginner or expert, Endeavour Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Endeavour OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Endeavour. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Endeavour Mining's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Endeavour Mining Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Endeavour Mining's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Endeavour Mining's current price.

Endeavour Mining Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Endeavour Mining otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Endeavour Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Endeavour Mining otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Endeavour Mining Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Endeavour Mining Risk Indicators

The analysis of Endeavour Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Endeavour Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting endeavour otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Endeavour OTC Stock

Endeavour Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Endeavour OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Endeavour with respect to the benefits of owning Endeavour Mining security.