Bitcoin ETF Etf Forecast - Simple Regression
EBIT Etf | CAD 51.39 2.57 5.26% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Bitcoin ETF CAD on the next trading day is expected to be 51.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 137.16. Bitcoin Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Bitcoin |
Bitcoin ETF Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Bitcoin ETF CAD on the next trading day is expected to be 51.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.25, mean absolute percentage error of 6.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 137.16.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bitcoin Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bitcoin ETF's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bitcoin ETF Etf Forecast Pattern
Backtest Bitcoin ETF | Bitcoin ETF Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Bitcoin ETF Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bitcoin ETF's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bitcoin ETF's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.67 and 54.42, respectively. We have considered Bitcoin ETF's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bitcoin ETF etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bitcoin ETF etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.0141 |
Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2485 |
MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0624 |
SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 137.1579 |
Predictive Modules for Bitcoin ETF
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bitcoin ETF CAD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Bitcoin ETF
For every potential investor in Bitcoin, whether a beginner or expert, Bitcoin ETF's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bitcoin Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bitcoin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bitcoin ETF's price trends.Bitcoin ETF Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bitcoin ETF etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bitcoin ETF could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bitcoin ETF by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bitcoin ETF CAD Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bitcoin ETF's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bitcoin ETF's current price.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
Bitcoin ETF Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bitcoin ETF etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bitcoin ETF shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bitcoin ETF etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Bitcoin ETF CAD entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bitcoin ETF Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bitcoin ETF's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bitcoin ETF's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bitcoin etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation | 2.44 | |||
Semi Deviation | 1.72 | |||
Standard Deviation | 3.3 | |||
Variance | 10.88 | |||
Downside Variance | 5.41 | |||
Semi Variance | 2.95 | |||
Expected Short fall | (2.91) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Bitcoin ETF
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bitcoin ETF position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bitcoin ETF will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Bitcoin Etf
1.0 | BTCQ | 3iQ Bitcoin ETF | PairCorr |
1.0 | BTCC | Purpose Bitcoin CAD | PairCorr |
0.96 | ETHQ | 3iQ CoinShares Ether | PairCorr |
Moving against Bitcoin Etf
0.99 | BITI | BetaPro Inverse Bitcoin | PairCorr |
0.82 | RIT | CI Canadian REIT | PairCorr |
0.77 | HUV | BetaPro SP 500 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bitcoin ETF could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bitcoin ETF when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bitcoin ETF - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bitcoin ETF CAD to buy it.
The correlation of Bitcoin ETF is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bitcoin ETF moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bitcoin ETF CAD moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bitcoin ETF can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Bitcoin Etf
Bitcoin ETF financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bitcoin Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bitcoin with respect to the benefits of owning Bitcoin ETF security.