DocuSign Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

DOCU Stock  USD 74.70  5.43  6.78%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of DocuSign on the next trading day is expected to be 78.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 111.26. DocuSign Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, DocuSign's Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is likely to gain to 28.44 in 2025, whereas Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 3.38 in 2025. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 185 M in 2025. Net Loss is likely to drop to about (117.7 M) in 2025.

Open Interest Against 2025-06-20 DocuSign Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast DocuSign's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in DocuSign's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for DocuSign stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current DocuSign's open interest, investors have to compare it to DocuSign's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of DocuSign is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in DocuSign. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the DocuSign's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2017-01-31
Previous Quarter
619.1 M
Current Value
610.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
276.4 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for DocuSign is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of DocuSign value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

DocuSign Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of March 2025

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of DocuSign on the next trading day is expected to be 78.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.82, mean absolute percentage error of 4.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 111.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DocuSign Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DocuSign's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

DocuSign Stock Forecast Pattern

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DocuSign Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting DocuSign's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DocuSign's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 76.70 and 80.74, respectively. We have considered DocuSign's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
74.70
78.72
Expected Value
80.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DocuSign stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DocuSign stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.6189
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.824
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0205
SAESum of the absolute errors111.2636
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of DocuSign. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict DocuSign. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for DocuSign

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DocuSign. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DocuSign's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
72.2074.2276.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.2391.4093.42
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
87.2995.92106.47
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.860.880.90
Details

Other Forecasting Options for DocuSign

For every potential investor in DocuSign, whether a beginner or expert, DocuSign's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DocuSign Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DocuSign. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DocuSign's price trends.

DocuSign Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DocuSign stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DocuSign could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DocuSign by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

DocuSign Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DocuSign's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DocuSign's current price.

DocuSign Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DocuSign stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DocuSign shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DocuSign stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DocuSign entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

DocuSign Risk Indicators

The analysis of DocuSign's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DocuSign's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting docusign stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for DocuSign Stock Analysis

When running DocuSign's price analysis, check to measure DocuSign's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DocuSign is operating at the current time. Most of DocuSign's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DocuSign's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DocuSign's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DocuSign to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.