DI Global Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

DKIGSFUT  DKK 389.10  0.40  0.10%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DI Global Sustainable on the next trading day is expected to be 388.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.40. DKIGSFUT Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for DI Global works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

DI Global Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DI Global Sustainable on the next trading day is expected to be 388.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.36, mean absolute percentage error of 9.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DKIGSFUT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DI Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

DI Global Stock Forecast Pattern

DI Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting DI Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DI Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 388.10 and 389.70, respectively. We have considered DI Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
389.10
388.10
Downside
388.90
Expected Value
389.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DI Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DI Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.4373
MADMean absolute deviation2.3627
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0061
SAESum of the absolute errors139.4
When DI Global Sustainable prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any DI Global Sustainable trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent DI Global observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for DI Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DI Global Sustainable. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DI Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
388.30389.10389.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
386.70387.50428.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
381.88390.25398.62
Details

Other Forecasting Options for DI Global

For every potential investor in DKIGSFUT, whether a beginner or expert, DI Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DKIGSFUT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DKIGSFUT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DI Global's price trends.

DI Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DI Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DI Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DI Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

DI Global Sustainable Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DI Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DI Global's current price.

DI Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DI Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DI Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DI Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DI Global Sustainable entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

DI Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of DI Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DI Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dkigsfut stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with DI Global

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if DI Global position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in DI Global will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with DKIGSFUT Stock

  0.66MAERSK-B AP MllerPairCorr
  0.66MAERSK-A AP MllerPairCorr

Moving against DKIGSFUT Stock

  0.62VWS Vestas Wind SystemsPairCorr
  0.55ORSTED Orsted ASPairCorr
  0.53TRMD-A TORM plcPairCorr
  0.44CARL-B Carlsberg ASPairCorr
  0.44NLFSK Nilfisk Holding ASPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to DI Global could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace DI Global when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back DI Global - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling DI Global Sustainable to buy it.
The correlation of DI Global is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as DI Global moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if DI Global Sustainable moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for DI Global can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for DKIGSFUT Stock Analysis

When running DI Global's price analysis, check to measure DI Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DI Global is operating at the current time. Most of DI Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DI Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DI Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DI Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.