CEMEX SAB Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

CXMSF Stock  USD 0.54  0.03  5.26%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CEMEX SAB de on the next trading day is expected to be 0.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.69. CEMEX Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CEMEX SAB's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for CEMEX SAB works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

CEMEX SAB Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CEMEX SAB de on the next trading day is expected to be 0.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.69.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CEMEX Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CEMEX SAB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CEMEX SAB Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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CEMEX SAB Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CEMEX SAB's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CEMEX SAB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.71, respectively. We have considered CEMEX SAB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.54
0.54
Expected Value
3.71
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CEMEX SAB pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CEMEX SAB pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0032
MADMean absolute deviation0.0115
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0198
SAESum of the absolute errors0.6895
When CEMEX SAB de prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any CEMEX SAB de trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent CEMEX SAB observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for CEMEX SAB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CEMEX SAB de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CEMEX SAB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.543.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.473.65
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CEMEX SAB

For every potential investor in CEMEX, whether a beginner or expert, CEMEX SAB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CEMEX Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CEMEX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CEMEX SAB's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

CEMEX SAB de Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CEMEX SAB's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CEMEX SAB's current price.

CEMEX SAB Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CEMEX SAB pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CEMEX SAB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CEMEX SAB pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify CEMEX SAB de entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CEMEX SAB Risk Indicators

The analysis of CEMEX SAB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CEMEX SAB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cemex pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in CEMEX Pink Sheet

When determining whether CEMEX SAB de offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of CEMEX SAB's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cemex Sab De Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cemex Sab De Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CEMEX SAB to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CEMEX SAB's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CEMEX SAB is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CEMEX SAB's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.