Canadian TireLimited Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

CTC-A Stock  CAD 147.90  0.63  0.42%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Canadian Tire on the next trading day is expected to be 144.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 321.46. Canadian Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Canadian TireLimited's Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is likely to gain to 5.57 in 2025, whereas Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 2.00 in 2025. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 61 M in 2025, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop slightly above 838.5 M in 2025.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Canadian TireLimited price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Canadian TireLimited Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Canadian Tire on the next trading day is expected to be 144.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.27, mean absolute percentage error of 37.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 321.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Canadian Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Canadian TireLimited's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Canadian TireLimited Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Canadian TireLimitedCanadian TireLimited Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Canadian TireLimited Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Canadian TireLimited's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Canadian TireLimited's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 142.59 and 145.92, respectively. We have considered Canadian TireLimited's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
147.90
142.59
Downside
144.25
Expected Value
145.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Canadian TireLimited stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Canadian TireLimited stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.7224
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.2699
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0344
SAESum of the absolute errors321.4638
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Canadian Tire historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Canadian TireLimited

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canadian TireLimited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
146.27147.94149.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
124.05125.72162.69
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.101.401.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Canadian TireLimited. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Canadian TireLimited's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Canadian TireLimited's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Canadian TireLimited.

Other Forecasting Options for Canadian TireLimited

For every potential investor in Canadian, whether a beginner or expert, Canadian TireLimited's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Canadian Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Canadian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Canadian TireLimited's price trends.

Canadian TireLimited Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Canadian TireLimited stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Canadian TireLimited could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Canadian TireLimited by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Canadian TireLimited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Canadian TireLimited's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Canadian TireLimited's current price.

Canadian TireLimited Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Canadian TireLimited stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Canadian TireLimited shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Canadian TireLimited stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Canadian Tire entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Canadian TireLimited Risk Indicators

The analysis of Canadian TireLimited's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Canadian TireLimited's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting canadian stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Canadian TireLimited

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Canadian TireLimited position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Canadian TireLimited will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Canadian Stock

  0.62RY Royal BankPairCorr

Moving against Canadian Stock

  0.69DOL DollaramaPairCorr
  0.54RY-PO Royal BankPairCorr
  0.42VCU Vizsla Copper CorpPairCorr
  0.4RY-PN Royal BankPairCorr
  0.38RY-PS Royal BankPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Canadian TireLimited could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Canadian TireLimited when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Canadian TireLimited - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Canadian Tire to buy it.
The correlation of Canadian TireLimited is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Canadian TireLimited moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Canadian TireLimited moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Canadian TireLimited can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Canadian Stock Analysis

When running Canadian TireLimited's price analysis, check to measure Canadian TireLimited's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Canadian TireLimited is operating at the current time. Most of Canadian TireLimited's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Canadian TireLimited's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Canadian TireLimited's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Canadian TireLimited to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.