NYLI MacKay Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| CPLB Etf | 20.76 0.01 0.05% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NYLI MacKay Core on the next trading day is expected to be 20.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.63. NYLI Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast NYLI MacKay stock prices and determine the direction of NYLI MacKay Core's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NYLI MacKay's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
NYLI |
NYLI MacKay Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 10th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NYLI MacKay Core on the next trading day is expected to be 20.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NYLI Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NYLI MacKay's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NYLI MacKay Etf Forecast Pattern
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NYLI MacKay Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NYLI MacKay's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NYLI MacKay's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.49 and 21.00, respectively. We have considered NYLI MacKay's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NYLI MacKay etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NYLI MacKay etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0056 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0445 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0021 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.6269 |
Predictive Modules for NYLI MacKay
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NYLI MacKay Core. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for NYLI MacKay
For every potential investor in NYLI, whether a beginner or expert, NYLI MacKay's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NYLI Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NYLI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NYLI MacKay's price trends.NYLI MacKay Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NYLI MacKay etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NYLI MacKay could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NYLI MacKay by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NYLI MacKay Core Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NYLI MacKay's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NYLI MacKay's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NYLI MacKay Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NYLI MacKay etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NYLI MacKay shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NYLI MacKay etf market strength indicators, traders can identify NYLI MacKay Core entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
NYLI MacKay Risk Indicators
The analysis of NYLI MacKay's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NYLI MacKay's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nyli etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1968 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2548 | |||
| Variance | 0.0649 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| BTC | Bitcoin | |
| TRX | TRON | |
| BNB | Binance Coin |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NYLI MacKay to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
The market value of NYLI MacKay Core is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NYLI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NYLI MacKay's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NYLI MacKay's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NYLI MacKay's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NYLI MacKay's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NYLI MacKay's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NYLI MacKay is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NYLI MacKay's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.