CONMED Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| CNMD Stock | USD 73.16 0.73 0.99% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of CONMED on the next trading day is expected to be 78.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 190.54. CONMED Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CONMED stock prices and determine the direction of CONMED's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CONMED's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
CONMED |
CONMED Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of CONMED on the next trading day is expected to be 78.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.07, mean absolute percentage error of 12.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 190.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CONMED Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CONMED's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CONMED Stock Forecast Pattern
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CONMED Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CONMED's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CONMED's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 75.99 and 80.93, respectively. We have considered CONMED's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CONMED stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CONMED stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.4423 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.0733 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0437 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 190.5427 |
Predictive Modules for CONMED
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CONMED. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for CONMED
For every potential investor in CONMED, whether a beginner or expert, CONMED's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CONMED Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CONMED. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CONMED's price trends.View CONMED Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CONMED Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CONMED's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CONMED's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CONMED Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CONMED stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CONMED shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CONMED stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CONMED entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 11810.59 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.23) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 74.41 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 73.99 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.61) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.73) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 68.35 |
CONMED Risk Indicators
The analysis of CONMED's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CONMED's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting conmed stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.5 | |||
| Variance | 6.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.59 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.92 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.92) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether CONMED is a strong investment it is important to analyze CONMED's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CONMED's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CONMED Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CONMED to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade CONMED Stock refer to our How to Trade CONMED Stock guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CONMED. If investors know CONMED will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CONMED listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.14 | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 4.22 | Revenue Per Share 41.821 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.04 |
The market value of CONMED is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CONMED that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CONMED's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CONMED's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CONMED's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CONMED's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CONMED's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CONMED is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CONMED's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.