Canon Marketing Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CNJ Stock  EUR 30.00  0.40  1.35%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Canon Marketing Japan on the next trading day is expected to be 30.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.24. Canon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Canon Marketing's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Canon Marketing is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Canon Marketing Japan value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Canon Marketing Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Canon Marketing Japan on the next trading day is expected to be 30.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Canon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Canon Marketing's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Canon Marketing Stock Forecast Pattern

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Canon Marketing Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Canon Marketing's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Canon Marketing's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.40 and 31.68, respectively. We have considered Canon Marketing's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
30.00
30.04
Expected Value
31.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Canon Marketing stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Canon Marketing stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.5146
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4071
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0143
SAESum of the absolute errors25.242
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Canon Marketing Japan. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Canon Marketing. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Canon Marketing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canon Marketing Japan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.9629.6031.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.2128.8530.49
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Canon Marketing

For every potential investor in Canon, whether a beginner or expert, Canon Marketing's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Canon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Canon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Canon Marketing's price trends.

Canon Marketing Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Canon Marketing stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Canon Marketing could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Canon Marketing by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Canon Marketing Japan Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Canon Marketing's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Canon Marketing's current price.

Canon Marketing Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Canon Marketing stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Canon Marketing shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Canon Marketing stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Canon Marketing Japan entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Canon Marketing Risk Indicators

The analysis of Canon Marketing's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Canon Marketing's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting canon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Canon Stock

Canon Marketing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Canon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Canon with respect to the benefits of owning Canon Marketing security.