China Finance Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CHFI Stock  USD 0.00001  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of China Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000017 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00001. China Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of China Finance's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, China Finance's Other Stockholder Equity is increasing as compared to previous years. The China Finance's current Total Liabilities is estimated to increase to about 2.9 M, while Total Assets are projected to decrease to under 38 M.
Triple exponential smoothing for China Finance - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When China Finance prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in China Finance price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of China Finance.

China Finance Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of China Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000017, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00001.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict China Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that China Finance's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

China Finance Stock Forecast Pattern

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China Finance Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting China Finance's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. China Finance's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 125.99, respectively. We have considered China Finance's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00001
0.00
Expected Value
125.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of China Finance stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent China Finance stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past China Finance observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older China Finance observations.

Predictive Modules for China Finance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Finance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Finance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Finance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Finance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China Finance.

Other Forecasting Options for China Finance

For every potential investor in China, whether a beginner or expert, China Finance's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. China Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in China. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying China Finance's price trends.

China Finance Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with China Finance stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of China Finance could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Finance by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

China Finance Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of China Finance's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of China Finance's current price.

China Finance Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how China Finance stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading China Finance shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying China Finance stock market strength indicators, traders can identify China Finance entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether China Finance offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of China Finance's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of China Finance Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on China Finance Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of China Finance to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in China Stock please use our How to Invest in China Finance guide.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Capital Markets space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of China Finance. If investors know China will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about China Finance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Revenue Per Share
0.036
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.92)
Return On Assets
(0.04)
Return On Equity
(0.39)
The market value of China Finance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of China that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of China Finance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is China Finance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because China Finance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect China Finance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between China Finance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China Finance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Finance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.