Capital Bancorp Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

CBNK Stock  USD 29.32  0.97  3.42%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Capital Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 29.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.84. Capital Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Capital Bancorp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Capital Bancorp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Capital Bancorp fundamentals over time.
  
Receivables Turnover is expected to rise to 19.67 this year, although the value of Fixed Asset Turnover will most likely fall to 19.56. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to rise to about 14.5 M this year. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to rise to about 50.5 M this year.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Capital Bancorp is based on a synthetically constructed Capital Bancorpdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Capital Bancorp 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Capital Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 29.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.41, mean absolute percentage error of 2.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Capital Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Capital Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Capital Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Capital Bancorp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Capital Bancorp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Capital Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.23 and 31.98, respectively. We have considered Capital Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29.32
29.61
Expected Value
31.98
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Capital Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Capital Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria82.3593
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.2581
MADMean absolute deviation1.4107
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0492
SAESum of the absolute errors57.8375
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Capital Bancorp 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Capital Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.9329.3031.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.1627.5329.90
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.9323.0025.53
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.570.610.64
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Capital Bancorp

For every potential investor in Capital, whether a beginner or expert, Capital Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Capital Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Capital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Capital Bancorp's price trends.

Capital Bancorp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Capital Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Capital Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Capital Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Capital Bancorp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Capital Bancorp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Capital Bancorp's current price.

Capital Bancorp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Capital Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Capital Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Capital Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Capital Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Capital Bancorp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Capital Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Capital Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting capital stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Capital Bancorp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Capital Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Capital Bancorp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Capital Bancorp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capital Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Capital Stock please use our How to buy in Capital Stock guide.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capital Bancorp. If investors know Capital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capital Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.11)
Dividend Share
0.36
Earnings Share
2.34
Revenue Per Share
11.354
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.01
The market value of Capital Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capital Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capital Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capital Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capital Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.