CRRC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

C2L Stock  EUR 0.61  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CRRC Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.45. CRRC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CRRC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
CRRC simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for CRRC Limited are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as CRRC Limited prices get older.

CRRC Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CRRC Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CRRC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CRRC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CRRC Stock Forecast Pattern

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CRRC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CRRC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CRRC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.06, respectively. We have considered CRRC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.61
0.61
Expected Value
3.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CRRC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CRRC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.8955
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0012
MADMean absolute deviation0.0076
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0123
SAESum of the absolute errors0.4546
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting CRRC Limited forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent CRRC observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for CRRC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CRRC Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.613.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.522.97
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CRRC

For every potential investor in CRRC, whether a beginner or expert, CRRC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CRRC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CRRC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CRRC's price trends.

CRRC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CRRC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CRRC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CRRC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CRRC Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CRRC's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CRRC's current price.

CRRC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CRRC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CRRC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CRRC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CRRC Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CRRC Risk Indicators

The analysis of CRRC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CRRC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting crrc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in CRRC Stock

CRRC financial ratios help investors to determine whether CRRC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CRRC with respect to the benefits of owning CRRC security.