Basic Fit Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

BSFFF Stock  USD 23.36  0.99  4.43%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Basic Fit NV on the next trading day is expected to be 23.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.53. Basic Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Basic Fit's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Basic Fit simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Basic Fit NV are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Basic Fit NV prices get older.

Basic Fit Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Basic Fit NV on the next trading day is expected to be 23.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Basic Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Basic Fit's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Basic Fit Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Basic Fit Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Basic Fit's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Basic Fit's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.52 and 25.20, respectively. We have considered Basic Fit's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.36
23.36
Expected Value
25.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Basic Fit pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Basic Fit pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.618
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0507
MADMean absolute deviation0.1562
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0064
SAESum of the absolute errors9.53
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Basic Fit NV forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Basic Fit observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Basic Fit

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Basic Fit NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.5223.3625.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.1724.0125.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.9025.0928.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Basic Fit. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Basic Fit's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Basic Fit's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Basic Fit NV.

Other Forecasting Options for Basic Fit

For every potential investor in Basic, whether a beginner or expert, Basic Fit's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Basic Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Basic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Basic Fit's price trends.

Basic Fit Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Basic Fit pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Basic Fit could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Basic Fit by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Basic Fit NV Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Basic Fit's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Basic Fit's current price.

Basic Fit Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Basic Fit pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Basic Fit shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Basic Fit pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Basic Fit NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Basic Fit Risk Indicators

The analysis of Basic Fit's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Basic Fit's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting basic pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Basic Pink Sheet

Basic Fit financial ratios help investors to determine whether Basic Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Basic with respect to the benefits of owning Basic Fit security.