VanEck Brazil Etf Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

BRF Etf  USD 11.43  0.06  0.53%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of VanEck Brazil Small Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 11.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.28. VanEck Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of VanEck Brazil's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  

Open Interest Against 2025-04-17 VanEck Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast VanEck Brazil's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in VanEck Brazil's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for VanEck Brazil stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current VanEck Brazil's open interest, investors have to compare it to VanEck Brazil's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of VanEck Brazil is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in VanEck. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for VanEck Brazil is based on an artificially constructed time series of VanEck Brazil daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

VanEck Brazil 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of VanEck Brazil Small Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 11.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VanEck Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VanEck Brazil's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

VanEck Brazil Etf Forecast Pattern

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VanEck Brazil Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting VanEck Brazil's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VanEck Brazil's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.18 and 13.40, respectively. We have considered VanEck Brazil's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.43
11.29
Expected Value
13.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VanEck Brazil etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VanEck Brazil etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria101.631
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1722
MADMean absolute deviation0.3072
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.026
SAESum of the absolute errors16.2837
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. VanEck Brazil Small Cap 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for VanEck Brazil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Brazil Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.3211.4313.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.5710.6812.79
Details

Other Forecasting Options for VanEck Brazil

For every potential investor in VanEck, whether a beginner or expert, VanEck Brazil's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VanEck Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VanEck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VanEck Brazil's price trends.

VanEck Brazil Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VanEck Brazil etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VanEck Brazil could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VanEck Brazil by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

VanEck Brazil Small Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of VanEck Brazil's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of VanEck Brazil's current price.

VanEck Brazil Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VanEck Brazil etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VanEck Brazil shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VanEck Brazil etf market strength indicators, traders can identify VanEck Brazil Small Cap entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

VanEck Brazil Risk Indicators

The analysis of VanEck Brazil's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VanEck Brazil's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vaneck etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether VanEck Brazil Small is a strong investment it is important to analyze VanEck Brazil's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact VanEck Brazil's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding VanEck Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck Brazil to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
The market value of VanEck Brazil Small is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Brazil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Brazil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Brazil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Brazil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Brazil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Brazil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Brazil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.