Blade Air Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

BLDE Stock  USD 4.33  0.15  3.35%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Blade Air Mobility on the next trading day is expected to be 4.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.29. Blade Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Blade Air stock prices and determine the direction of Blade Air Mobility's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Blade Air's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Blade Air's Receivables Turnover is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 12.00, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 124.86. . As of December 11, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 55.6 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is expected to decline to about (25.8 M).

Open Interest Against 2024-12-20 Blade Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Blade Air's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Blade Air's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Blade Air stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Blade Air's open interest, investors have to compare it to Blade Air's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Blade Air is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Blade. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
A two period moving average forecast for Blade Air is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Blade Air Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Blade Air Mobility on the next trading day is expected to be 4.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Blade Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Blade Air's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Blade Air Stock Forecast Pattern

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Blade Air Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Blade Air's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Blade Air's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 8.93, respectively. We have considered Blade Air's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.33
4.41
Expected Value
8.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Blade Air stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Blade Air stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.1514
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0299
MADMean absolute deviation0.1406
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0379
SAESum of the absolute errors8.295
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Blade Air Mobility price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Blade Air. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Blade Air

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blade Air Mobility. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blade Air's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.214.138.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.725.259.78
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.638.389.30
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Blade Air

For every potential investor in Blade, whether a beginner or expert, Blade Air's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Blade Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Blade. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Blade Air's price trends.

Blade Air Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Blade Air stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Blade Air could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blade Air by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Blade Air Mobility Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Blade Air's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Blade Air's current price.

Blade Air Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Blade Air stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Blade Air shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Blade Air stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Blade Air Mobility entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Blade Air Risk Indicators

The analysis of Blade Air's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Blade Air's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blade stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Blade Air Mobility is a strong investment it is important to analyze Blade Air's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Blade Air's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Blade Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blade Air to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blade Air. If investors know Blade will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blade Air listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.69)
Revenue Per Share
1.244
Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.083
Return On Assets
(0.11)
Return On Equity
(0.24)
The market value of Blade Air Mobility is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blade that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blade Air's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blade Air's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blade Air's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blade Air's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blade Air's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blade Air is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blade Air's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.