Bill Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

BILL Stock  USD 90.22  0.45  0.50%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Bill Com Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 101.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 212.81. Bill Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Bill's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Bill's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Bill fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Bill's Inventory Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is expected to rise to 41.32 this year, although the value of Receivables Turnover will most likely fall to 1.69. . The value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to slide to about 100.4 M. Net Loss is expected to rise to about (191.3 M) this year.
Bill polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Bill Com Holdings as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Bill Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Bill Com Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 101.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.49, mean absolute percentage error of 22.54, and the sum of the absolute errors of 212.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bill Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bill's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bill Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest BillBill Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Bill Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bill's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bill's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 98.28 and 105.01, respectively. We have considered Bill's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
90.22
101.65
Expected Value
105.01
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bill stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bill stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.2257
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.4887
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0519
SAESum of the absolute errors212.8121
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Bill historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Bill

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bill Com Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.1289.4992.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.20114.50117.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
51.0678.69106.33
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
121.38133.39148.06
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bill

For every potential investor in Bill, whether a beginner or expert, Bill's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bill Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bill. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bill's price trends.

Bill Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bill stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bill could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bill by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bill Com Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bill's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bill's current price.

Bill Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bill stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bill shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bill stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bill Com Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bill Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bill's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bill's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bill stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Bill Com Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Bill's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Bill's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Bill Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bill to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bill. If investors know Bill will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bill listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.07
Revenue Per Share
12.698
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.175
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Return On Equity
0.0019
The market value of Bill Com Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bill that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bill's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bill's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bill's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bill's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bill's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bill is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bill's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.