1895 Of Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BCOW Stock | USD 10.09 0.10 1.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 1895 of Wisconsin on the next trading day is expected to be 10.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.71. 1895 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
1895 |
1895 Of Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 1895 of Wisconsin on the next trading day is expected to be 10.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.71.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 1895 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 1895 Of's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
1895 Of Stock Forecast Pattern
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1895 Of Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting 1895 Of's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 1895 Of's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.12 and 11.03, respectively. We have considered 1895 Of's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 1895 Of stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 1895 Of stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.4154 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0023 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0451 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0045 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.706 |
Predictive Modules for 1895 Of
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1895 of Wisconsin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for 1895 Of
For every potential investor in 1895, whether a beginner or expert, 1895 Of's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 1895 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 1895. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 1895 Of's price trends.View 1895 Of Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
1895 of Wisconsin Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of 1895 Of's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of 1895 Of's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
1895 Of Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 1895 Of stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 1895 Of shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 1895 Of stock market strength indicators, traders can identify 1895 of Wisconsin entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
1895 Of Risk Indicators
The analysis of 1895 Of's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 1895 Of's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 1895 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6411 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.198 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Variance | 1.02 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4876 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0392 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.92) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for 1895 Stock Analysis
When running 1895 Of's price analysis, check to measure 1895 Of's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 1895 Of is operating at the current time. Most of 1895 Of's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 1895 Of's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 1895 Of's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 1895 Of to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.