Credicorp Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

BAPN Stock  MXN 3,640  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Credicorp on the next trading day is expected to be 3,640 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.82. Credicorp Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Credicorp is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Credicorp Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Credicorp on the next trading day is expected to be 3,640 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81, mean absolute percentage error of 38.76, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Credicorp Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Credicorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Credicorp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Credicorp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Credicorp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Credicorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3,640 and 3,640, respectively. We have considered Credicorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3,640
3,640
Expected Value
3,640
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Credicorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Credicorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.0921
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.8105
MADMean absolute deviation0.8105
MAPEMean absolute percentage error2.0E-4
SAESum of the absolute errors47.82
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Credicorp price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Credicorp. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Credicorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Credicorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,6403,6403,640
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,2763,6643,664
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
3,6403,6403,640
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Credicorp

For every potential investor in Credicorp, whether a beginner or expert, Credicorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Credicorp Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Credicorp. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Credicorp's price trends.

Credicorp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Credicorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Credicorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Credicorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Credicorp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Credicorp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Credicorp's current price.

Credicorp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Credicorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Credicorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Credicorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Credicorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Credicorp Stock Analysis

When running Credicorp's price analysis, check to measure Credicorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Credicorp is operating at the current time. Most of Credicorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Credicorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Credicorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Credicorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.