ASA METROPOLIS Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

ASMT11 Fund   34.50  0.27  0.79%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ASA METROPOLIS FUNDO on the next trading day is expected to be 35.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 121.42. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast ASA METROPOLIS's fund prices and determine the direction of ASA METROPOLIS FUNDO's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through ASA METROPOLIS price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

ASA METROPOLIS Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of ASA METROPOLIS FUNDO on the next trading day is expected to be 35.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.99, mean absolute percentage error of 5.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 121.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ASA Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ASA METROPOLIS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ASA METROPOLIS Fund Forecast Pattern

ASA METROPOLIS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ASA METROPOLIS's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ASA METROPOLIS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.41 and 39.93, respectively. We have considered ASA METROPOLIS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
34.50
35.67
Expected Value
39.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ASA METROPOLIS fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ASA METROPOLIS fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.8873
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.9904
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0642
SAESum of the absolute errors121.4164
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as ASA METROPOLIS FUNDO historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for ASA METROPOLIS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASA METROPOLIS FUNDO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for ASA METROPOLIS

For every potential investor in ASA, whether a beginner or expert, ASA METROPOLIS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ASA Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ASA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ASA METROPOLIS's price trends.

ASA METROPOLIS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ASA METROPOLIS fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ASA METROPOLIS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ASA METROPOLIS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ASA METROPOLIS FUNDO Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ASA METROPOLIS's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ASA METROPOLIS's current price.

ASA METROPOLIS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ASA METROPOLIS fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ASA METROPOLIS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ASA METROPOLIS fund market strength indicators, traders can identify ASA METROPOLIS FUNDO entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ASA METROPOLIS Risk Indicators

The analysis of ASA METROPOLIS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ASA METROPOLIS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting asa fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
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