Akzo Nobel OTC Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

AKZOF Stock  USD 57.75  1.25  2.12%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Akzo Nobel NV on the next trading day is expected to be 58.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.62. Akzo OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Akzo Nobel's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Akzo Nobel NV is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Akzo Nobel 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Akzo Nobel NV on the next trading day is expected to be 58.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82, mean absolute percentage error of 1.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.62.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Akzo OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Akzo Nobel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Akzo Nobel OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Akzo Nobel Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Akzo Nobel's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Akzo Nobel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 56.27 and 60.48, respectively. We have considered Akzo Nobel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
57.75
58.38
Expected Value
60.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Akzo Nobel otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Akzo Nobel otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.2771
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2076
MADMean absolute deviation0.821
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0129
SAESum of the absolute errors47.62
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Akzo Nobel. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Akzo Nobel NV and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Akzo Nobel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akzo Nobel NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.9059.0061.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.4654.5664.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.619.8510.08
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Akzo Nobel

For every potential investor in Akzo, whether a beginner or expert, Akzo Nobel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Akzo OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Akzo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Akzo Nobel's price trends.

Akzo Nobel Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Akzo Nobel otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Akzo Nobel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Akzo Nobel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Akzo Nobel NV Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Akzo Nobel's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Akzo Nobel's current price.

Akzo Nobel Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Akzo Nobel otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Akzo Nobel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Akzo Nobel otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Akzo Nobel NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Akzo Nobel Risk Indicators

The analysis of Akzo Nobel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Akzo Nobel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting akzo otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Akzo OTC Stock

Akzo Nobel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Akzo OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Akzo with respect to the benefits of owning Akzo Nobel security.