Akzo Nobel Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| AKZA Stock | EUR 55.16 0.18 0.33% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Akzo Nobel NV on the next trading day is expected to be 55.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.81. Akzo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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Akzo Nobel 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Akzo Nobel NV on the next trading day is expected to be 55.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84, mean absolute percentage error of 1.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.81.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Akzo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Akzo Nobel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Akzo Nobel Stock Forecast Pattern
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Akzo Nobel Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Akzo Nobel's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Akzo Nobel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 53.88 and 56.98, respectively. We have considered Akzo Nobel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Akzo Nobel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Akzo Nobel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.2289 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0914 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8387 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0141 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 47.805 |
Predictive Modules for Akzo Nobel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akzo Nobel NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Akzo Nobel
For every potential investor in Akzo, whether a beginner or expert, Akzo Nobel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Akzo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Akzo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Akzo Nobel's price trends.Akzo Nobel Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Akzo Nobel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Akzo Nobel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Akzo Nobel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Akzo Nobel NV Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Akzo Nobel's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Akzo Nobel's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Akzo Nobel Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Akzo Nobel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Akzo Nobel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Akzo Nobel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Akzo Nobel NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3508.52 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.25) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 55.38 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 55.31 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.31) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.18) |
Akzo Nobel Risk Indicators
The analysis of Akzo Nobel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Akzo Nobel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting akzo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.55 | |||
| Variance | 2.4 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Akzo Stock Analysis
When running Akzo Nobel's price analysis, check to measure Akzo Nobel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Akzo Nobel is operating at the current time. Most of Akzo Nobel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Akzo Nobel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Akzo Nobel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Akzo Nobel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.