Maming Enam Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

AKSI Stock  IDR 388.00  2.00  0.52%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Maming Enam Sembilan on the next trading day is expected to be 418.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 108.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,443. Maming Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Maming Enam Sembilan is based on a synthetically constructed Maming Enamdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Maming Enam 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Maming Enam Sembilan on the next trading day is expected to be 418.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 108.36, mean absolute percentage error of 15,637, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,443.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Maming Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Maming Enam's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Maming Enam Stock Forecast Pattern

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Maming Enam Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Maming Enam's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Maming Enam's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 407.39 and 428.81, respectively. We have considered Maming Enam's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
388.00
407.39
Downside
418.10
Expected Value
428.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Maming Enam stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Maming Enam stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria91.0104
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -15.8976
MADMean absolute deviation108.3561
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2139
SAESum of the absolute errors4442.6
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Maming Enam Sembilan 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Maming Enam

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maming Enam Sembilan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
377.29388.00398.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
358.47369.18426.80
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Maming Enam

For every potential investor in Maming, whether a beginner or expert, Maming Enam's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Maming Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Maming. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Maming Enam's price trends.

Maming Enam Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Maming Enam stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Maming Enam could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Maming Enam by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Maming Enam Sembilan Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Maming Enam's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Maming Enam's current price.

Maming Enam Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Maming Enam stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Maming Enam shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Maming Enam stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Maming Enam Sembilan entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Maming Enam Risk Indicators

The analysis of Maming Enam's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Maming Enam's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting maming stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Maming Stock

Maming Enam financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maming Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maming with respect to the benefits of owning Maming Enam security.