American Woodmark Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

AHQ Stock  EUR 73.50  1.50  2.08%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of American Woodmark on the next trading day is expected to be 75.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 131.98. American Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of American Woodmark's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for American Woodmark is based on a synthetically constructed American Woodmarkdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

American Woodmark 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2025

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of American Woodmark on the next trading day is expected to be 75.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.22, mean absolute percentage error of 14.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 131.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict American Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that American Woodmark's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

American Woodmark Stock Forecast Pattern

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American Woodmark Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting American Woodmark's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. American Woodmark's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 73.37 and 77.08, respectively. We have considered American Woodmark's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
73.50
75.22
Expected Value
77.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Woodmark stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Woodmark stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria84.0043
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.5604
MADMean absolute deviation3.2189
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0424
SAESum of the absolute errors131.975
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. American Woodmark 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for American Woodmark

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Woodmark. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
71.6473.5075.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.8861.7480.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
71.0975.3679.62
Details

Other Forecasting Options for American Woodmark

For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Woodmark's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Woodmark's price trends.

American Woodmark Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Woodmark stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Woodmark could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Woodmark by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

American Woodmark Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of American Woodmark's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of American Woodmark's current price.

American Woodmark Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Woodmark stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Woodmark shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Woodmark stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Woodmark entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

American Woodmark Risk Indicators

The analysis of American Woodmark's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Woodmark's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in American Stock

When determining whether American Woodmark is a strong investment it is important to analyze American Woodmark's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact American Woodmark's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding American Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Woodmark to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in American Stock please use our How to Invest in American Woodmark guide.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Woodmark's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Woodmark is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Woodmark's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

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