CKH Food Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

900120 Stock  KRW 70.00  3.00  4.11%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CKH Food Health on the next trading day is expected to be 75.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 245.45. CKH Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CKH Food stock prices and determine the direction of CKH Food Health's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CKH Food's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for CKH Food Health is based on a synthetically constructed CKH Fooddaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

CKH Food 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CKH Food Health on the next trading day is expected to be 75.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.99, mean absolute percentage error of 42.69, and the sum of the absolute errors of 245.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CKH Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CKH Food's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CKH Food Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CKH FoodCKH Food Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

CKH Food Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CKH Food's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CKH Food's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 72.15 and 78.35, respectively. We have considered CKH Food's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
70.00
75.25
Expected Value
78.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CKH Food stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CKH Food stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria85.107
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 3.0622
MADMean absolute deviation5.9866
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.074
SAESum of the absolute errors245.45
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. CKH Food Health 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for CKH Food

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CKH Food Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.9070.0073.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.3764.4777.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CKH Food. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CKH Food's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CKH Food's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CKH Food Health.

Other Forecasting Options for CKH Food

For every potential investor in CKH, whether a beginner or expert, CKH Food's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CKH Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CKH. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CKH Food's price trends.

CKH Food Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CKH Food stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CKH Food could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CKH Food by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CKH Food Health Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CKH Food's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CKH Food's current price.

CKH Food Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CKH Food stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CKH Food shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CKH Food stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CKH Food Health entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CKH Food Risk Indicators

The analysis of CKH Food's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CKH Food's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ckh stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with CKH Food

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CKH Food position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CKH Food will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with CKH Stock

  0.75006400 Samsung SDIPairCorr
  0.79051910 LG ChemicalsPairCorr

Moving against CKH Stock

  0.57010130 Korea ZincPairCorr
  0.43003920 Namyang DairyPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to CKH Food could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace CKH Food when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back CKH Food - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling CKH Food Health to buy it.
The correlation of CKH Food is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as CKH Food moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if CKH Food Health moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for CKH Food can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in CKH Stock

CKH Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether CKH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CKH with respect to the benefits of owning CKH Food security.