Science Environmental Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

688480 Stock   25.80  0.58  2.30%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Science Environmental Protection on the next trading day is expected to be 25.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.80. Science Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Science Environmental stock prices and determine the direction of Science Environmental Protection's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Science Environmental's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Science Environmental - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Science Environmental prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Science Environmental price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Science Environmental.

Science Environmental Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Science Environmental Protection on the next trading day is expected to be 25.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69, mean absolute percentage error of 0.81, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Science Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Science Environmental's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Science Environmental Stock Forecast Pattern

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Science Environmental Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Science Environmental's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Science Environmental's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.64 and 28.44, respectively. We have considered Science Environmental's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.80
25.54
Expected Value
28.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Science Environmental stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Science Environmental stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0942
MADMean absolute deviation0.6915
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0229
SAESum of the absolute errors40.7981
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Science Environmental observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Science Environmental Protection observations.

Predictive Modules for Science Environmental

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Science Environmental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.7325.6328.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.5423.4426.34
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Science Environmental. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Science Environmental's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Science Environmental's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Science Environmental.

Other Forecasting Options for Science Environmental

For every potential investor in Science, whether a beginner or expert, Science Environmental's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Science Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Science. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Science Environmental's price trends.

Science Environmental Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Science Environmental stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Science Environmental could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Science Environmental by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Science Environmental Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Science Environmental's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Science Environmental's current price.

Science Environmental Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Science Environmental stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Science Environmental shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Science Environmental stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Science Environmental Protection entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Science Environmental Risk Indicators

The analysis of Science Environmental's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Science Environmental's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting science stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Science Stock

Science Environmental financial ratios help investors to determine whether Science Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Science with respect to the benefits of owning Science Environmental security.