Cambricon Technologies Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

688256 Stock   544.80  6.37  1.18%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Cambricon Technologies Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 568.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 25.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,583. Cambricon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Cambricon Technologies stock prices and determine the direction of Cambricon Technologies Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cambricon Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Cambricon Technologies' Total Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Liabilities is expected to grow to about 561 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 5.5 B.
Cambricon Technologies polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Cambricon Technologies Corp as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Cambricon Technologies Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Cambricon Technologies Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 568.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 25.95, mean absolute percentage error of 893.54, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,583.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cambricon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cambricon Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cambricon Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cambricon TechnologiesCambricon Technologies Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Cambricon Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cambricon Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cambricon Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 562.56 and 574.93, respectively. We have considered Cambricon Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
544.80
562.56
Downside
568.74
Expected Value
574.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cambricon Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cambricon Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.9057
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation25.949
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0764
SAESum of the absolute errors1582.8909
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Cambricon Technologies historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Cambricon Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cambricon Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
484.59598.45604.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
381.72387.96592.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
534.24548.54562.85
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cambricon Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cambricon Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cambricon Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cambricon Technologies.

Other Forecasting Options for Cambricon Technologies

For every potential investor in Cambricon, whether a beginner or expert, Cambricon Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cambricon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cambricon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cambricon Technologies' price trends.

Cambricon Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cambricon Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cambricon Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cambricon Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cambricon Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cambricon Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cambricon Technologies' current price.

Cambricon Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cambricon Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cambricon Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cambricon Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cambricon Technologies Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cambricon Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cambricon Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cambricon Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cambricon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Cambricon Stock

Cambricon Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cambricon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cambricon with respect to the benefits of owning Cambricon Technologies security.