AMPACS Corp Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

6743 Stock  TWD 41.65  1.05  2.46%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of AMPACS Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 46.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.18. AMPACS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for AMPACS Corp is based on a synthetically constructed AMPACS Corpdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

AMPACS Corp 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of AMPACS Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 46.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.10, mean absolute percentage error of 12.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AMPACS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AMPACS Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

AMPACS Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest AMPACS CorpAMPACS Corp Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

AMPACS Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting AMPACS Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AMPACS Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.32 and 48.92, respectively. We have considered AMPACS Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
41.65
46.62
Expected Value
48.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AMPACS Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AMPACS Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria83.874
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 3.1019
MADMean absolute deviation3.1019
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0635
SAESum of the absolute errors127.1775
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. AMPACS Corp 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for AMPACS Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMPACS Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.3541.6543.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.6934.9945.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
40.3845.3450.31
Details

Other Forecasting Options for AMPACS Corp

For every potential investor in AMPACS, whether a beginner or expert, AMPACS Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AMPACS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AMPACS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AMPACS Corp's price trends.

AMPACS Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AMPACS Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AMPACS Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AMPACS Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AMPACS Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AMPACS Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AMPACS Corp's current price.

AMPACS Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AMPACS Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AMPACS Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AMPACS Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AMPACS Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

AMPACS Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of AMPACS Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AMPACS Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ampacs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for AMPACS Stock Analysis

When running AMPACS Corp's price analysis, check to measure AMPACS Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMPACS Corp is operating at the current time. Most of AMPACS Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMPACS Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMPACS Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMPACS Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.