BIN Live Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

6625 Stock  TWD 86.20  0.70  0.81%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BIN Live Co on the next trading day is expected to be 86.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.40. BIN Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
BIN Live simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for BIN Live Co are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as BIN Live prices get older.

BIN Live Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BIN Live Co on the next trading day is expected to be 86.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96, mean absolute percentage error of 1.89, and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BIN Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BIN Live's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BIN Live Stock Forecast Pattern

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BIN Live Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BIN Live's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BIN Live's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 84.61 and 87.79, respectively. We have considered BIN Live's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
86.20
86.20
Expected Value
87.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BIN Live stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BIN Live stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.7477
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.059
MADMean absolute deviation0.9574
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.011
SAESum of the absolute errors58.4
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting BIN Live Co forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent BIN Live observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for BIN Live

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BIN Live. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
84.6186.2087.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.0186.6088.19
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BIN Live

For every potential investor in BIN, whether a beginner or expert, BIN Live's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BIN Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BIN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BIN Live's price trends.

BIN Live Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BIN Live stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BIN Live could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BIN Live by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BIN Live Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BIN Live's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BIN Live's current price.

BIN Live Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BIN Live stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BIN Live shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BIN Live stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BIN Live Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BIN Live Risk Indicators

The analysis of BIN Live's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BIN Live's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for BIN Stock Analysis

When running BIN Live's price analysis, check to measure BIN Live's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BIN Live is operating at the current time. Most of BIN Live's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BIN Live's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BIN Live's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BIN Live to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.