Flytech Technology Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

6206 Stock  TWD 86.00  1.90  2.16%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Flytech Technology Co on the next trading day is expected to be 86.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.20. Flytech Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Flytech Technology is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Flytech Technology Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Flytech Technology Co on the next trading day is expected to be 86.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97, mean absolute percentage error of 2.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Flytech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Flytech Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Flytech Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

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Flytech Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Flytech Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Flytech Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 84.53 and 87.47, respectively. We have considered Flytech Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
86.00
86.00
Expected Value
87.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Flytech Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Flytech Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.9651
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0217
MADMean absolute deviation0.97
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0114
SAESum of the absolute errors58.2
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Flytech Technology Co price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Flytech Technology. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Flytech Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flytech Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
84.5386.0087.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.9781.4494.60
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Flytech Technology

For every potential investor in Flytech, whether a beginner or expert, Flytech Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Flytech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Flytech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Flytech Technology's price trends.

Flytech Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Flytech Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Flytech Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Flytech Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Flytech Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Flytech Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Flytech Technology's current price.

Flytech Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Flytech Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Flytech Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Flytech Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Flytech Technology Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Flytech Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Flytech Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Flytech Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting flytech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Flytech Stock Analysis

When running Flytech Technology's price analysis, check to measure Flytech Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flytech Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Flytech Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flytech Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flytech Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flytech Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.