Dimension Computer Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

6140 Stock  TWD 26.15  1.15  4.21%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Dimension Computer Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 26.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.48. Dimension Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Dimension Computer is based on an artificially constructed time series of Dimension Computer daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Dimension Computer 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Dimension Computer Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 26.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 2.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dimension Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dimension Computer's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dimension Computer Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dimension ComputerDimension Computer Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Dimension Computer Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dimension Computer's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dimension Computer's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.19 and 29.51, respectively. We have considered Dimension Computer's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.15
26.85
Expected Value
29.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dimension Computer stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dimension Computer stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.1324
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0725
MADMean absolute deviation0.877
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0348
SAESum of the absolute errors46.4812
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Dimension Computer Technology 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Dimension Computer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dimension Computer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.4926.1528.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.1025.7628.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20.1424.1928.24
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Dimension Computer

For every potential investor in Dimension, whether a beginner or expert, Dimension Computer's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dimension Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dimension. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dimension Computer's price trends.

Dimension Computer Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dimension Computer stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dimension Computer could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dimension Computer by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dimension Computer Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dimension Computer's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dimension Computer's current price.

Dimension Computer Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dimension Computer stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dimension Computer shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dimension Computer stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dimension Computer Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dimension Computer Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dimension Computer's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dimension Computer's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dimension stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Dimension Computer

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Dimension Computer position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Dimension Computer will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Dimension Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Dimension Computer could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Dimension Computer when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Dimension Computer - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Dimension Computer Technology to buy it.
The correlation of Dimension Computer is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Dimension Computer moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Dimension Computer moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Dimension Computer can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Dimension Stock Analysis

When running Dimension Computer's price analysis, check to measure Dimension Computer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dimension Computer is operating at the current time. Most of Dimension Computer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dimension Computer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dimension Computer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dimension Computer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.