Liuzhou Iron Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

601003 Stock   2.72  0.03  1.12%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Liuzhou Iron Steel on the next trading day is expected to be 2.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.03. Liuzhou Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Liuzhou Iron stock prices and determine the direction of Liuzhou Iron Steel's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Liuzhou Iron's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Liuzhou Iron's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 31.2 B, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 1.6 B.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Liuzhou Iron is based on an artificially constructed time series of Liuzhou Iron daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Liuzhou Iron 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Liuzhou Iron Steel on the next trading day is expected to be 2.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Liuzhou Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Liuzhou Iron's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Liuzhou Iron Stock Forecast Pattern

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Liuzhou Iron Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Liuzhou Iron's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Liuzhou Iron's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.57 and 4.95, respectively. We have considered Liuzhou Iron's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.72
2.76
Expected Value
4.95
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Liuzhou Iron stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Liuzhou Iron stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria99.0599
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0182
MADMean absolute deviation0.0949
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0314
SAESum of the absolute errors5.0275
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Liuzhou Iron Steel 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Liuzhou Iron

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liuzhou Iron Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.532.724.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.212.404.59
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.210.210.21
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Liuzhou Iron

For every potential investor in Liuzhou, whether a beginner or expert, Liuzhou Iron's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Liuzhou Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Liuzhou. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Liuzhou Iron's price trends.

Liuzhou Iron Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Liuzhou Iron stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Liuzhou Iron could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Liuzhou Iron by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Liuzhou Iron Steel Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Liuzhou Iron's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Liuzhou Iron's current price.

Liuzhou Iron Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Liuzhou Iron stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Liuzhou Iron shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Liuzhou Iron stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Liuzhou Iron Steel entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Liuzhou Iron Risk Indicators

The analysis of Liuzhou Iron's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Liuzhou Iron's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting liuzhou stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Liuzhou Stock

Liuzhou Iron financial ratios help investors to determine whether Liuzhou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Liuzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Liuzhou Iron security.