Xiamen Faratronic Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

600563 Stock   123.43  1.38  1.13%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Xiamen Faratronic Co on the next trading day is expected to be 120.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 164.90. Xiamen Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Xiamen Faratronic stock prices and determine the direction of Xiamen Faratronic Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Xiamen Faratronic's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Xiamen Faratronic's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 1.7 B, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 423.9 K.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Xiamen Faratronic Co is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Xiamen Faratronic 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 22nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Xiamen Faratronic Co on the next trading day is expected to be 120.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.89, mean absolute percentage error of 17.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 164.90.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Xiamen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Xiamen Faratronic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Xiamen Faratronic Stock Forecast Pattern

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Xiamen Faratronic Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Xiamen Faratronic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Xiamen Faratronic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 118.23 and 123.02, respectively. We have considered Xiamen Faratronic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
123.43
118.23
Downside
120.62
Expected Value
123.02
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Xiamen Faratronic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Xiamen Faratronic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.6033
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3391
MADMean absolute deviation2.893
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0229
SAESum of the absolute errors164.9
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Xiamen Faratronic. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Xiamen Faratronic Co and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Xiamen Faratronic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xiamen Faratronic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
120.78123.17125.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
101.97104.36135.77
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xiamen Faratronic. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xiamen Faratronic's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xiamen Faratronic's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Xiamen Faratronic.

Other Forecasting Options for Xiamen Faratronic

For every potential investor in Xiamen, whether a beginner or expert, Xiamen Faratronic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Xiamen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Xiamen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Xiamen Faratronic's price trends.

Xiamen Faratronic Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Xiamen Faratronic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Xiamen Faratronic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xiamen Faratronic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Xiamen Faratronic Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Xiamen Faratronic's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Xiamen Faratronic's current price.

Xiamen Faratronic Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Xiamen Faratronic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Xiamen Faratronic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Xiamen Faratronic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Xiamen Faratronic Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Xiamen Faratronic Risk Indicators

The analysis of Xiamen Faratronic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Xiamen Faratronic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xiamen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Xiamen Stock

Xiamen Faratronic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xiamen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xiamen with respect to the benefits of owning Xiamen Faratronic security.