JPM INDIAN Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

3J8 Stock  EUR 12.50  0.10  0.81%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of JPM INDIAN INVT on the next trading day is expected to be 12.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.88. JPM Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of JPM INDIAN's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for JPM INDIAN INVT is based on a synthetically constructed JPM INDIANdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

JPM INDIAN 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of JPM INDIAN INVT on the next trading day is expected to be 12.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JPM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JPM INDIAN's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

JPM INDIAN Stock Forecast Pattern

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JPM INDIAN Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting JPM INDIAN's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JPM INDIAN's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.23 and 13.72, respectively. We have considered JPM INDIAN's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.50
12.47
Expected Value
13.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JPM INDIAN stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JPM INDIAN stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria79.0241
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1877
MADMean absolute deviation0.2411
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0196
SAESum of the absolute errors9.885
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. JPM INDIAN INVT 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for JPM INDIAN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPM INDIAN INVT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2612.5013.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.1412.3813.62
Details

Other Forecasting Options for JPM INDIAN

For every potential investor in JPM, whether a beginner or expert, JPM INDIAN's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JPM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JPM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JPM INDIAN's price trends.

JPM INDIAN Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JPM INDIAN stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JPM INDIAN could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JPM INDIAN by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

JPM INDIAN INVT Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of JPM INDIAN's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of JPM INDIAN's current price.

JPM INDIAN Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JPM INDIAN stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JPM INDIAN shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JPM INDIAN stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JPM INDIAN INVT entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

JPM INDIAN Risk Indicators

The analysis of JPM INDIAN's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JPM INDIAN's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jpm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in JPM Stock

JPM INDIAN financial ratios help investors to determine whether JPM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JPM with respect to the benefits of owning JPM INDIAN security.