Kailong High Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

300912 Stock   10.74  0.14  1.29%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kailong High Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 12.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.17. Kailong Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kailong High stock prices and determine the direction of Kailong High Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kailong High's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Kailong High's Other Current Liabilities is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Cash is expected to grow to about 157.9 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.9 B.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Kailong High price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Kailong High Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Kailong High Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 12.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89, mean absolute percentage error of 1.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kailong Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kailong High's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kailong High Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kailong HighKailong High Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Kailong High Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kailong High's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kailong High's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.49 and 16.80, respectively. We have considered Kailong High's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.74
12.65
Expected Value
16.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kailong High stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kailong High stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.2481
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8881
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0706
SAESum of the absolute errors54.1744
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Kailong High Technology historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Kailong High

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kailong High Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.6910.8815.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.1310.3214.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.1310.9211.71
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kailong High

For every potential investor in Kailong, whether a beginner or expert, Kailong High's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kailong Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kailong. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kailong High's price trends.

Kailong High Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kailong High stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kailong High could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kailong High by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kailong High Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kailong High's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kailong High's current price.

Kailong High Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kailong High stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kailong High shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kailong High stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kailong High Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kailong High Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kailong High's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kailong High's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kailong stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Kailong Stock

Kailong High financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kailong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kailong with respect to the benefits of owning Kailong High security.