Kailong High (China) Market Value

300912 Stock   10.40  0.13  1.23%   
Kailong High's market value is the price at which a share of Kailong High trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Kailong High Technology investors about its performance. Kailong High is trading at 10.40 as of the 6th of January 2025, a 1.23% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 10.53.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Kailong High Technology and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Kailong High over a given investment horizon. Check out Kailong High Correlation, Kailong High Volatility and Kailong High Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Kailong High.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kailong High's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kailong High is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kailong High's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kailong High 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Kailong High's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Kailong High.
0.00
12/07/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/06/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Kailong High on December 7, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Kailong High Technology or generate 0.0% return on investment in Kailong High over 30 days. Kailong High is related to or competes with Biwin Storage, PetroChina, Industrial, China Construction, China Petroleum, Agricultural Bank, and Bank of China. Kailong High is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Kailong High Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Kailong High's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Kailong High Technology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Kailong High Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kailong High's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Kailong High's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Kailong High historical prices to predict the future Kailong High's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.6710.4015.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.159.8814.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.159.8814.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.2112.0413.87
Details

Kailong High Technology Backtested Returns

Kailong High Technology has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0814, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0814% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Kailong High exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Kailong High's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0325, mean deviation of 3.52, and Downside Deviation of 5.17 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.78, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Kailong High's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Kailong High is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Kailong High Technology has a negative expected return of -0.39%. Please make sure to verify Kailong High's mean deviation, downside deviation, standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if Kailong High Technology performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.73  

Good predictability

Kailong High Technology has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Kailong High time series from 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024 and 22nd of December 2024 to 6th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Kailong High Technology price movement. The serial correlation of 0.73 indicates that around 73.0% of current Kailong High price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.73
Spearman Rank Test0.82
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.4

Kailong High Technology lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Kailong High stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Kailong High's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Kailong High returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Kailong High has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Kailong High regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Kailong High stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Kailong High stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Kailong High stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Kailong High Lagged Returns

When evaluating Kailong High's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Kailong High stock have on its future price. Kailong High autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Kailong High autocorrelation shows the relationship between Kailong High stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Kailong High Technology.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Kailong Stock

Kailong High financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kailong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kailong with respect to the benefits of owning Kailong High security.